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Figure 2
                                                                                                                                                                     Figure 2
                                                                                                                                   Figure 2. Distributions of lagged linear   and (e) WET-DRY year difference in the
                                                                                                                                   correlation/regression (in mm month-   period 1960-2015. The contours repre-
               a        ENEB MJJ(0)  & (SST & WIND) ND (-1)J(0)    b        ENEB MJJ(0)  & (SST & WIND) MJJ (0)                    -1/°C) of SST anomalies in (a) November-  sent significant values at a 95% confi-
                                                                                                                                   -January(-1) [NDJ(−1)] and (b) May-July(   dence level. The vertical black lines (at
                                                                                                                                   0) [MJJ( 0)] with the rain anomalies in   35° W) in (b), (c) and (d) indicate the eas-
                                                                                                                                   the east of the NEB (magenta box) du-  tern boundary of the NEB. Distribution
                                                                                                                                   ring MJJ(0).  The vectors represent the   of lagged linear correlation/regression
                                                                                                                                   linear regression (mm month−1/m s−1)   of anomalies: (f) SST (colors; °C/°C) and
                                                                                                                                   of the surface wind vector anomalies   surface wind (vectors; m s−1/°C) (g) 500
                                                                                                                                   (u and v; from the NCEP), with the rain   hPa vertical velocity (colors; Pa s −1/°C;
                                                                                                                                   anomalies in the east of the NEB. Sig-  negative values indicate upward move-
                                                                                                                                   nificant correlations at the 95% confi-  ment) and sea level pressure anomalies
                                                                                                                                   dence level are plotted for both SST and   (outlines, significant correlation only)
                                                                                                                                   wind. Contours indicate regions of cor-  in tropical Atlantic MJJ with SST ano-
                                                                                                                                   relation greater than +0.5 (solid black   malies within the southeastern tropical
                                                                                                                                   line) for TSM anomalies. The diagonal   Atlantic (ARROW; 10° S-20 °S, 10°W-5°E;
                                                                                                                                   band in Figure 2a indicates the propa-  oceanic black box) in the NDJ. Only tho-
                                                                                                                                   gation path of the SST anomalies from   se correlations that are significant at a
              -0.6       -0.4       -0.2        0.0       0.2       0.4       0.6      -0.6       -0.4       -0.2        0.0       0.2       0.4       0.6     east to west. Time-longitude diagrams   95% confidence level. The contours in
                                                                                                                                   of SST anomalies composites standar-   (a) indicate regions of correlation grea-
                                                                                                                                   dized for: (c) WET years, (d) DRY years,   ter than +0.5 for SSTA).


                                                                                                                                 2.3. Extreme meteorological events in    518  injured  and  11  dead.  Losses  totaled
                                     c        SETA ND(-1)J(0) X (SST, SLP, WIND & Omega) MJJ(0)
                                                                                                                                 the South-Southeast region of Brazil:    approximately US$350 million  and 14
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1
                                                                                                                                 the case of Cyclone Catarina             municipalities declared a state of public ca-
                                                                                                                                                                          lamity (G1 on-line Santa Catarina; MCTAG-
                                                                                                                                    Regarding extreme events in South     GART-COWAN et al., 2006; PEREIRA FILHO
                                                                                                                                 America, despite the ocean-atmosphere    et al., 2010).
                                                                                                                                 teleconnections and their consequences      From this perspective, it becomes evi-
                                                                                                                                 described above with a focus on the Trop-  dent that the need to understand the varia-
                                                                                                                                 ical Atlantic, the importance of extratropi-  tions in intensity and frequency of extreme
                                                                                                                                 cal cyclones in the south/southeast region   events in a given region depends on how
                                                                                                                                 of Brazil also deserves to be emphasized.   comprehensive the scientific knowledge is
                                                                                                                                 For example, the passage of an extratrop-  about the environmental factors that con-
                                                                                                                                 ical cyclone, which later gave rise to a   trol them. In this context, the modulating
                                        -1.0 -0.8  -0.6  -0.4  -0.2   0.0  0.2   0.4   0.6   0.8   1.0                           subtropical cyclone in the same area, was   potential of the ocean has been increas-
                                                                                                                                 related to the development of the first hur-  ingly explored. In the case of Catarina, the
                                                                                                                                 ricane ever documented in the South At-  phenomenon that hit the coast of Santa
                                                         Source: Hounsou-Gbo et al. (2019)                                       lantic: Catarina. It hit southern Brazil in late   Catarina on March 28, 2004 was charac-
                                                                                                                                                                                            2
                                                                                                                                 March 2004, leaving more than 27,500     terized as a cyclone , and not a hurricane,
                                                                                                                                 homeless, nearly 36,000 homes damaged,   according to Cunha  et al. (2004) citing


     404  BLUE ECONOMY                                                                                                                                                                     Ocean and Climate: New Challenges  405
     404
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